| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.07 | 82.1% | 60.00 | 17.4% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.77 | 81.4% | 21.78 | 18.4% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.87 | 80.8% | 43.50 | 18.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.26 | 79.7% | 60.00 | 19.7% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.54 | 78.9% | 20.15 | 20.9% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.60 | 78.4% | 23.22 | 21.3% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.16 | 21.3% | 12.40 | 21.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →