Markets on the weather that settle on eleven feeds, priced from a 16-day forecast.
Every market here asks whether the consensus of eleven independent feeds will read a condition at one hour — with the forecast’s own probability beside the price, the feeds that agree on the hour, an on-chain anchor for every run, and a parametric cover on the same condition one click away. 167 cities, 90 countries, six daily products each.
Simulation: you start with 10,000 sUSDT and nothing here has monetary value. Powered by Weather Data Market
| City | Temp | Rain | Wind | WDI | Verdict | Feeds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul South Korea | 25.0°C | 0.0 | 1.3 | 47.2 | verified | 11/11 |
| Tokyo Japan | 25.8°C | 0.0 | 0.9 | 49.1 | mismatch | 11/11 |
| Singapore Singapore | 29.0°C | 0.0 | 2.0 | 54.0 | verified | 11/11 |
| Sydney Australia | 21.0°C | 0.0 | 4.5 | 50.1 | verified | 11/11 |
| Dubai United Arab Emirates | 28.7°C | 0.0 | 2.3 | 53.2 | mismatch | 11/11 |
| New York United States | 57.4°F | 0.0 | 6.3 | 44.0 | verified | 11/11 |
| London United Kingdom | 13.0°C | 0.0 | 2.0 | 43.8 | verified | 11/11 |
| Sao Paulo Brazil | 13.6°C | 0.0 | 3.0 | 47.9 | verified | 11/11 |
What every market here carries
The same six things, on every card, every quote and every settlement.
Eleven independent feeds, reduced to a median with outlier rejection and graded verified, mixed or mismatch every hour. The grade is what settles the market.
The 16-day forecast implies a probability for every condition on the board. It sits next to the market price, and the gap between them is shown as edge.
Temperature at even money, a hot tail and a cold tail, precipitation, wind and humidity — at one, three, seven and fourteen days ahead, for 167 cities.
The determination: the value, the verdict, the feeds that agreed and disagreed, the run id and the SHA-256 anchor on BNB Chain. Final once issued.
When feeds do not corroborate an hour, markets void and refund and premiums return. Each city’s recent eligibility rate is on every card before you trade.
A parametric policy on the identical metric, hour and threshold, priced from the same model and paid on the same determination — designed by you.
On the board now 8590 open
All markets →YES/NO shares on one condition at one hour, from an LMSR market maker seeded at the model probability. Six questions per city per day, four horizons, every category the oracle reports.
Open the board →Pick the city, the condition, the hour and the amount. The premium is the model probability times the cover, loaded and fee’d, shown line by line. Pays in full when the determination says met.
Design a cover →The verdict is the product: met, not met or withheld, with the value, the feeds that agreed and disagreed, the run id and the on-chain anchor. Final once issued. Same condition, same hour, same answer for everyone.
How it is made →