| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.61 | 48.6% | 38.68 | 49.6% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 25.83 | 47.3% | 12.21 | 47.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 24.74 | 46.6% | 11.54 | 46.9% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.24 | 46.0% | 13.44 | 46.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →