| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.24 | 71.3% | 35.12 | 28.2% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.90 | 28.8% | 10.06 | 29.2% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.28 | 71.4% | 11.62 | 28.5% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.12 | 70.7% | 36.13 | 28.8% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.30 | 69.7% | 26.71 | 29.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →