| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.54 | 75.9% | 55.07 | 23.4% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.49 | 74.6% | 54.79 | 24.7% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.96 | 73.5% | 25.70 | 26.1% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.47 | 72.8% | 29.45 | 26.8% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 151.94 | 26.1% | 39.72 | 27.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.44 | 74.8% | 40.72 | 24.7% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.41 | 73.9% | 29.86 | 25.7% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.21 | 73.3% | 17.01 | 26.5% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.08 | 72.2% | 60.00 | 27.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →