| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.18 | 61.5% | 27.16 | 62.0% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.41 | 59.8% | 60.00 | 61.0% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 68.80 | 57.7% | 39.70 | 58.5% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.04 | 55.5% | 60.00 | 56.9% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.67 | 52.8% | 60.00 | 54.2% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.34 | 49.9% | 60.00 | 51.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →