| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.11 | 85.6% | 60.00 | 14.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.57 | 84.8% | 50.49 | 14.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.52 | 83.9% | 60.00 | 15.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.38 | 82.9% | 60.00 | 16.6% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.62 | 81.9% | 48.85 | 17.6% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.14 | 80.9% | 60.00 | 18.5% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.07 | 80.0% | 40.03 | 19.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →