| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.70 | 72.6% | 60.00 | 73.4% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 16.71 | 71.6% | 11.96 | 71.7% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 67.73 | 70.7% | 47.88 | 71.4% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.88 | 69.1% | 60.00 | 70.0% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.36 | 67.1% | 60.00 | 68.1% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.15 | 65.1% | 60.00 | 66.2% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 71.59 | 63.2% | 45.27 | 64.1% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.97 | 61.2% | 60.00 | 62.4% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.97 | 58.8% | 60.00 | 60.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →