| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.95 | 17.2% | 13.08 | 17.8% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.46 | 82.8% | 60.00 | 16.7% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.40 | 81.7% | 60.00 | 17.7% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.17 | 80.6% | 59.79 | 18.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.02 | 79.6% | 46.16 | 20.0% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.69 | 78.5% | 54.71 | 20.9% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.80 | 77.5% | 37.04 | 22.1% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.61 | 76.8% | 19.68 | 22.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →