| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 8.95 | 83.2% | 7.45 | 16.7% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.74 | 82.8% | 37.05 | 16.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.03 | 82.1% | 40.27 | 17.5% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.88 | 81.2% | 60.00 | 18.2% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.48 | 80.5% | 14.07 | 19.3% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.40 | 80.0% | 41.90 | 19.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.01 | 78.9% | 57.63 | 20.5% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.26 | 77.7% | 60.00 | 21.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →