| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.21 | 74.4% | 18.00 | 25.4% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.55 | 73.7% | 30.63 | 25.9% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 119.92 | 25.5% | 30.62 | 26.7% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.82 | 75.4% | 13.44 | 24.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →