| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.35 | 81.8% | 60.00 | 17.7% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.38 | 80.7% | 60.00 | 18.8% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.49 | 79.5% | 60.00 | 19.9% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.72 | 78.2% | 60.00 | 21.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.21 | 77.0% | 46.37 | 22.5% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.69 | 76.0% | 42.31 | 23.5% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.31 | 74.7% | 60.00 | 24.5% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.02 | 73.1% | 60.00 | 26.0% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.93 | 71.5% | 60.00 | 27.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →