| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 24.56 | 67.1% | 16.47 | 67.3% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.27 | 66.1% | 42.46 | 66.8% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.35 | 64.3% | 60.00 | 65.3% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.67 | 62.1% | 60.00 | 63.2% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.97 | 59.8% | 58.54 | 60.9% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.73 | 57.3% | 60.00 | 58.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →