| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.57 | 83.8% | 60.00 | 15.7% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.01 | 82.9% | 48.93 | 16.7% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.20 | 82.0% | 60.00 | 17.5% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.25 | 81.1% | 35.88 | 18.6% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.02 | 80.4% | 36.19 | 19.3% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.99 | 79.5% | 56.41 | 20.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →