| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 53.68 | 63.4% | 34.05 | 64.1% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.31 | 61.7% | 60.00 | 62.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.20 | 59.3% | 60.00 | 60.5% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 66.91 | 57.2% | 38.30 | 58.1% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.93 | 55.1% | 60.00 | 56.4% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.72 | 52.3% | 60.00 | 53.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →