| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.17 | 53.7% | 52.19 | 54.9% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 117.57 | 51.0% | 60.00 | 52.5% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 125.00 | 48.0% | 60.00 | 49.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.03 | 53.2% | 16.50 | 46.4% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.22 | 46.6% | 22.48 | 47.2% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 56.47 | 45.3% | 25.59 | 46.0% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.67 | 43.2% | 48.29 | 44.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →