| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.33 | 45.0% | 17.68 | 45.4% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.88 | 54.3% | 55.29 | 44.5% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.48 | 52.0% | 40.32 | 47.0% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 121.07 | 49.6% | 60.00 | 48.9% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.44 | 50.6% | 55.36 | 52.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →