| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.47 | 82.9% | 31.90 | 16.8% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.06 | 82.1% | 60.00 | 17.3% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.05 | 81.0% | 60.00 | 18.4% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.18 | 80.3% | 16.20 | 19.6% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.43 | 79.6% | 51.29 | 19.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →