| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.57 | 64.0% | 21.48 | 35.6% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.41 | 63.2% | 21.12 | 36.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.36 | 35.9% | 38.23 | 37.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.89 | 34.0% | 22.06 | 34.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 192.41 | 31.2% | 60.00 | 33.3% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 172.74 | 27.4% | 47.34 | 29.1% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.62 | 24.7% | 25.87 | 25.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →