| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.61 | 54.2% | 60.00 | 55.6% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.40 | 52.5% | 15.96 | 52.9% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.59 | 51.9% | 10.16 | 52.1% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.54 | 47.9% | 18.46 | 51.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →