| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 153.41 | 39.1% | 60.00 | 40.9% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 169.78 | 35.3% | 60.00 | 37.3% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 67.36 | 32.7% | 22.01 | 33.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 197.36 | 29.8% | 58.90 | 31.9% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.60 | 26.6% | 32.61 | 27.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →