| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.96 | 67.4% | 60.00 | 31.6% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.70 | 65.4% | 60.00 | 33.5% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.79 | 63.3% | 60.00 | 35.6% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.32 | 61.0% | 60.00 | 37.8% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.37 | 58.6% | 60.00 | 40.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.04 | 56.1% | 60.00 | 42.6% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.50 | 53.3% | 60.00 | 45.3% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 118.94 | 50.4% | 60.00 | 48.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →