| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.30 | 51.1% | 23.14 | 48.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 10.32 | 50.4% | 5.20 | 49.5% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.92 | 49.1% | 43.70 | 49.7% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 129.23 | 46.4% | 60.00 | 52.0% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.13 | 43.8% | 36.41 | 55.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →