| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.86 | 78.8% | 36.91 | 20.8% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.06 | 77.8% | 54.49 | 21.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.46 | 76.5% | 60.00 | 22.8% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.99 | 75.0% | 60.00 | 24.2% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.37 | 73.5% | 53.96 | 25.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →