| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.71 | 51.5% | 8.61 | 48.3% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.29 | 50.7% | 26.00 | 48.7% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 123.96 | 48.4% | 60.00 | 50.0% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 132.72 | 45.2% | 60.00 | 46.9% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 143.48 | 41.8% | 60.00 | 43.6% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 157.00 | 38.2% | 60.00 | 40.1% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 174.47 | 34.4% | 60.00 | 36.4% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 197.86 | 30.3% | 60.00 | 32.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →