| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.83 | 79.1% | 37.06 | 20.5% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.45 | 78.3% | 42.62 | 21.3% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.79 | 77.1% | 60.00 | 22.2% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.24 | 75.7% | 60.00 | 23.6% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.84 | 74.2% | 60.00 | 25.0% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.62 | 72.6% | 60.00 | 26.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →