| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.38 | 78.6% | 60.00 | 20.8% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.41 | 77.4% | 45.21 | 22.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.06 | 76.5% | 32.94 | 23.1% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.10 | 75.5% | 46.91 | 23.9% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.46 | 74.4% | 47.93 | 25.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →