| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.23 | 53.5% | 60.00 | 54.9% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 117.56 | 50.6% | 59.48 | 52.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 126.17 | 47.6% | 60.00 | 49.1% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.54 | 53.6% | 16.38 | 46.0% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.86 | 46.1% | 23.45 | 46.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →