| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.12 | 55.7% | 13.43 | 44.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.35 | 44.2% | 13.87 | 44.6% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.45 | 43.4% | 14.96 | 43.9% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.78 | 42.8% | 8.46 | 43.0% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.27 | 56.6% | 40.90 | 42.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →