| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.83 | 73.9% | 13.18 | 25.9% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 6.86 | 73.7% | 5.05 | 26.3% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.29 | 25.6% | 20.33 | 26.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.14 | 74.6% | 36.68 | 24.9% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 56.20 | 25.3% | 14.21 | 25.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →