| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.62 | 54.0% | 58.16 | 55.4% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 117.09 | 51.2% | 60.00 | 52.7% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 124.42 | 48.2% | 60.00 | 49.8% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 133.27 | 45.0% | 60.00 | 46.7% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 144.17 | 41.6% | 60.00 | 43.4% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 157.88 | 38.0% | 60.00 | 39.9% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 175.62 | 34.2% | 60.00 | 36.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →