| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.46 | 61.5% | 17.51 | 61.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.01 | 60.0% | 60.00 | 61.2% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.08 | 57.7% | 53.10 | 58.8% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.06 | 56.0% | 25.78 | 56.5% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 77.17 | 54.5% | 42.02 | 55.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →