| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.32 | 70.9% | 16.53 | 28.9% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.04 | 69.7% | 60.00 | 29.4% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.86 | 68.0% | 53.60 | 31.2% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.78 | 66.1% | 60.00 | 32.9% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.39 | 64.2% | 48.41 | 34.9% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.99 | 62.4% | 48.69 | 36.7% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.46 | 60.3% | 60.00 | 38.5% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.62 | 58.3% | 38.28 | 40.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →