| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.40 | 79.0% | 53.21 | 20.5% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.20 | 77.7% | 60.00 | 21.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.39 | 76.7% | 29.45 | 22.9% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.05 | 75.9% | 41.01 | 23.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →