| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.05 | 84.9% | 26.35 | 14.9% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.12 | 84.4% | 30.49 | 15.3% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.14 | 83.9% | 38.70 | 15.8% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.37 | 83.1% | 52.67 | 16.4% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.05 | 82.1% | 60.00 | 17.3% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.29 | 81.2% | 39.22 | 18.4% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.87 | 80.4% | 45.73 | 19.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →