| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.18 | 78.4% | 21.31 | 21.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.86 | 77.9% | 21.71 | 21.8% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.32 | 77.5% | 21.16 | 22.3% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.42 | 76.5% | 60.00 | 22.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.86 | 75.1% | 56.97 | 24.2% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.52 | 73.6% | 60.00 | 25.6% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.37 | 72.0% | 60.00 | 27.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →