| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.81 | 53.7% | 60.00 | 55.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.65 | 51.4% | 35.80 | 52.3% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.03 | 49.2% | 52.17 | 50.5% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 129.68 | 46.3% | 60.00 | 47.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →