| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.48 | 56.9% | 60.00 | 58.2% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.00 | 44.1% | 10.15 | 55.6% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.84 | 55.6% | 23.83 | 56.2% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.23 | 54.4% | 32.20 | 55.1% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 67.40 | 52.8% | 35.58 | 53.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →