| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.82 | 58.9% | 60.00 | 39.8% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.20 | 57.4% | 12.75 | 42.3% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.95 | 56.6% | 24.88 | 42.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.66 | 54.7% | 60.00 | 43.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 115.57 | 51.9% | 60.00 | 46.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 10.79 | 50.3% | 5.43 | 49.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →