| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.40 | 56.7% | 50.13 | 57.8% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.00 | 55.0% | 26.41 | 55.6% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.16 | 53.0% | 60.00 | 54.4% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.71 | 51.0% | 23.33 | 51.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.60 | 48.9% | 60.00 | 50.5% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 131.07 | 45.8% | 60.00 | 47.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →