| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.57 | 41.7% | 21.49 | 42.3% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.33 | 40.8% | 7.89 | 41.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.16 | 40.0% | 20.05 | 40.6% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.57 | 38.2% | 37.29 | 39.4% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.98 | 36.5% | 17.88 | 37.1% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.51 | 34.7% | 38.32 | 35.9% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 191.39 | 31.3% | 60.00 | 33.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →