| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 116.88 | 51.3% | 60.00 | 52.8% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 16.83 | 49.7% | 8.36 | 49.9% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.53 | 49.0% | 18.87 | 49.5% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 127.95 | 46.9% | 60.00 | 48.5% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.99 | 44.6% | 24.98 | 45.3% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 71.70 | 43.0% | 30.86 | 43.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →