| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.45 | 70.2% | 50.17 | 29.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.56 | 68.5% | 60.00 | 30.5% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.12 | 66.6% | 60.00 | 32.4% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.01 | 64.5% | 60.00 | 34.4% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.29 | 62.3% | 60.00 | 36.6% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.22 | 60.1% | 55.99 | 38.8% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.03 | 57.7% | 60.00 | 41.1% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.98 | 55.1% | 60.00 | 43.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →