| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.23 | 81.1% | 26.14 | 18.6% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.75 | 80.3% | 60.00 | 19.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.20 | 79.5% | 20.03 | 20.3% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 81.85 | 20.1% | 16.43 | 20.7% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.91 | 80.2% | 35.23 | 19.4% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.33 | 79.6% | 23.36 | 20.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →