| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.09 | 77.8% | 11.74 | 22.1% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.39 | 77.4% | 25.06 | 22.3% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.08 | 76.5% | 48.27 | 22.9% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.43 | 75.5% | 38.07 | 24.0% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.74 | 74.6% | 29.66 | 25.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →