| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.85 | 77.3% | 50.87 | 22.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.89 | 76.3% | 34.99 | 23.3% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.90 | 75.1% | 60.00 | 24.2% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.57 | 73.6% | 60.00 | 25.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →