| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.09 | 83.2% | 60.00 | 16.3% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.49 | 82.4% | 34.20 | 17.3% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.56 | 81.6% | 60.00 | 17.9% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.10 | 80.9% | 16.25 | 19.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →