| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.46 | 75.4% | 29.75 | 24.3% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.98 | 74.6% | 30.58 | 25.0% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.02 | 73.9% | 23.67 | 25.8% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.40 | 72.8% | 60.00 | 26.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →