| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.38 | 70.8% | 16.55 | 29.0% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.64 | 70.4% | 12.41 | 29.5% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.84 | 28.7% | 31.25 | 29.8% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.11 | 71.7% | 46.00 | 27.6% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.87 | 70.5% | 42.19 | 28.9% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.05 | 69.6% | 13.96 | 30.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →