| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.60 | 43.4% | 15.02 | 56.2% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.05 | 56.7% | 16.46 | 57.0% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.63 | 42.6% | 38.60 | 56.3% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.44 | 58.0% | 24.04 | 58.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →